SC Herford vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Herford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
WAT
0 - 0
SCH
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
VFK
4 - 2
SCH
25%
23%
52%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
SCH
0 - 0
WHE
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
LIP
3 - 3
SCH
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SCH
3 - 2
STA
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ERK
1 - 2
HUL
23%
24%
54%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ERK
0 - 4
S04
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
TSG
2 - 0
ERK
59%
23%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
ERK
3 - 1
SPL
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ERK
0 - 1
ERH
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |