Hazebrouck vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
68.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hazebrouck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HAZ
4 - 2
AUB
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
HAZ
0 - 3
BEA
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SAI
2 - 4
HAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
EVR
1 - 0
HAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HAZ
1 - 3
DIE
34%
27%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 1
CON
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
REI
0 - 3
DUN
9%
16%
75%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 1
USB
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
DUN
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 1
COL
45%
29%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |