SC Freital vs Budissa Bautzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
15º
8º
17
1º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 63 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 57 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 56 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 55 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 15 |
16º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 2
SGD
4%
9%
87%
|
33 | 75 | 42 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
SCF
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 3
AUE
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VFL
2 - 3
SCF
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 0
FSV
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BUD
4 - 3
VFB
32%
22%
47%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 3
BUD
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BUD
2 - 2
PLA
14%
22%
65%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
EWD
3 - 1
BUD
53%
21%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BUD
3 - 3
SVG
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |