SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
M05
3 - 1
SCF
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SCF
1 - 0
AUG
41%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
JER
1 - 3
SCF
6%
15%
80%
|
74 | 32 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SCF
2 - 0
KVM
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 4
BVB
18%
24%
58%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEV
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
KAI
0 - 0
BRE
21%
21%
58%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 2
BRE
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
S04
5 - 0
BRE
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BRE
4 - 1
WOL
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |