SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
KAI
3 - 0
SCF
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BVB
2 - 0
SCF
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
SCF
2 - 3
ARB
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 2
SCF
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LEV
4 - 1
SCF
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BRE
2 - 0
BVB
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 1
INT
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ARB
2 - 1
BRE
20%
24%
56%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BRE
2 - 2
LEV
60%
20%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
BRE
3 - 1
EIN
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |