SC Freiburg vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BYM
5 - 0
SCF
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
NAN
0 - 4
SCF
21%
24%
56%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 2
SCF
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 0
NAN
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 1
M05
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
STP
3 - 0
HSV
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EBT
2 - 1
STP
26%
24%
49%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STP
0 - 0
HEI
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SSV
2 - 0
STP
24%
23%
53%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
STP
1 - 1
SVS
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |