SC Freiburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
FSV
0 - 3
SCF
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
SCF
1 - 1
DAR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
SCF
3 - 1
BAY
41%
25%
33%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
MTV
2 - 0
SCF
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
SCF
1 - 0
KSC
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
FCN
3 - 1
RVO
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
SGF
1 - 4
FCN
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
EIN
1 - 1
FCN
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
FCN
3 - 1
WAL
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
FCN
5 - 2
LEV
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |