SC Freiburg vs ESV Ingolstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
SCF
1 - 0
AUG
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
SVS
4 - 2
SCF
69%
18%
12%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
SCF
3 - 1
BUR
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1981 |
EBT
1 - 0
SCF
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
SCF
0 - 2
EIN
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ESV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
ESV
3 - 1
SAA
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
ESV
2 - 0
DAR
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
FSV
1 - 3
ESV
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
ESV
0 - 0
BAY
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
HOM
2 - 1
ESV
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |