SC Freiburg vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
10º
7º
31
6º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 55 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
7% | 3% |
|
Europa League
|
7% | 6.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
11% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BVB
4 - 0
SCF
69%
18%
13%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
KSC
0 - 1
SCF
26%
23%
51%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 0
SCF
33%
26%
41%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 0
M05
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 1
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
STP
50%
23%
27%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
PRE
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RBL
0 - 0
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MON
4 - 1
BRE
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 1
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |