SC Freiburg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1989 |
M05
2 - 1
SCF
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
SCF
1 - 1
USO
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SCF
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
SCF
1 - 1
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
SAA
2 - 0
SCF
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1989 |
USO
1 - 1
BAY
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1989 |
BAY
1 - 2
OFC
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
WAT
2 - 0
BAY
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
BAY
1 - 1
HOM
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
BAY
4 - 1
M05
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |