SC Freiburg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
80.5%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
10º
7º
54
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 55 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 97% |
|
Champions League
|
7% | 3% |
|
Europa League
|
7% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
11% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
STU
4 - 0
SCF
59%
22%
20%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
EIN
4 - 1
SCF
47%
25%
28%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SCF
3 - 2
HOL
67%
19%
14%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 1
SCF
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 2
WOL
45%
24%
31%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
FEY
3 - 0
BYM
5%
10%
85%
|
100 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BYM
3 - 2
WOL
80%
13%
6%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
BYM
5 - 0
HOF
82%
12%
5%
|
100 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MON
0 - 1
BYM
6%
11%
83%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
RBS
0 - 6
BYM
3%
8%
89%
|
100 | 82 | 18 | 0 |