SC Freiburg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
79.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
10º
10º
72
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 1
SCF
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 2
LEN
52%
24%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 3
EIN
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 0
SCF
38%
24%
37%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BVB
3 - 0
SCF
67%
18%
15%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BYM
2 - 1
RBL
65%
19%
16%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RTV
3 - 2
BYM
4%
10%
86%
|
99 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BYM
6%
11%
83%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
BYM
15%
18%
67%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 1
MON
80%
13%
8%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |