SC Freiburg vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
SCF
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
SLI
1 - 2
SCF
45%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
EBT
0 - 1
SCF
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SCF
1 - 3
STU
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
SCF
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LEV
3 - 0
FCN
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
LEV
0 - 5
MUD
24%
23%
53%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
LEV
20%
23%
57%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LEV
5 - 3
HSV
65%
19%
16%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
SHA
0 - 0
LEV
26%
23%
51%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |