SC Freamunde vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freamunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
AVE
0 - 0
SCF
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SCF
2 - 2
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
SCF
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SCF
2 - 2
SPC
65%
20%
14%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
SCF
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
OLI
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
PEN
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 0
PEN
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
ATL
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
POR
3 - 2
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |