SC Freamunde vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freamunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LEX
2 - 2
SCF
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SCF
1 - 1
NAV
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UNM
2 - 2
SCF
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SCF
2 - 1
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
EST
3 - 0
SCF
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 2
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
ARO
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 2
AVE
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
ARO
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 1
SPC
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |