Fortuna Köln U17 vs Deutz Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
15º
15º
0
16º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BLE
7 - 0
SFK
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SFK
1 - 1
FCH
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RWE
4 - 1
SFK
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
S04
3 - 0
SFK
87%
10%
4%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 2
FCH
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Deutz Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SVD
2 - 4
FOD
6%
14%
79%
|
5 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SSI
3 - 0
SVD
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SVD
0 - 7
BDO
3%
7%
91%
|
8 | 36 | 28 | -1 |