SC Fortuna Köln II vs Viktoria Arnoldsweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
13º
12º
18
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
H05
3 - 0
SCF
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 2
SCF
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 2
BSC
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 1
SVE
56%
19%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
WEG
4 - 0
SCF
61%
20%
20%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 0
BER
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VFL
6 - 0
VIA
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 2
PES
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
H05
5 - 1
VIA
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 1
BSC
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |