SC Fortuna Köln II vs Union Schafhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
44.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
7º
23
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 0
SCF
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 5
BER
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SIE
3 - 3
SCF
44%
23%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 6
SCF
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
CRO
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Union Schafhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
USC
1 - 0
SPV
89%
8%
4%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 1
USC
27%
22%
51%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
USC
0 - 6
GET
77%
14%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 1
USC
10%
14%
76%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
USC
5 - 0
GLS
93%
6%
2%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |