SC Fortuna Köln II vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
54.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
7º
52
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SIE
3 - 3
SCF
44%
23%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 6
SCF
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
CRO
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 5
BLH
66%
18%
17%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BGP
4 - 3
SCF
27%
22%
52%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BER
3 - 2
SPV
88%
8%
4%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BER
3 - 4
SPO
70%
17%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 4
BER
18%
20%
62%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
BER
3 - 1
BGP
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 3
BER
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +2 |