SC Emmen vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
32%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
12º
9º
44
4º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 0
SCE
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SCE
4 - 0
GOL
56%
19%
25%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
4 - 0
SCE
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SCE
2 - 0
PER
48%
22%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BUO
1 - 1
SCE
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 1
FCS
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 2
ZOF
42%
23%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 4
FCS
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
RSZ
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZUG
2 - 2
FCS
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |