SC Emmen vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
14º
7º
32
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
0 - 3
SCE
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SCE
2 - 2
IBA
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 4
SCE
23%
20%
57%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCE
1 - 4
MEN
52%
22%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCC
3 - 0
SCE
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
FCS
12%
16%
72%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 2
FCS
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BUO
1 - 0
FCS
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
4 - 0
FCS
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MUT
3 - 3
FCS
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |