SC Emmen vs Collina d'Oro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
12º
9º
64
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
ZOF
2 - 0
SCE
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SCE
4 - 0
LUZ
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 0
SCE
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCE
2 - 5
ZUG
34%
23%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 3
SCE
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 0
LOC
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUO
2 - 0
FCC
31%
22%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ZOF
1 - 1
FCC
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
5 - 1
LUZ
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 1
FCC
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |