SC Einheit Dresden vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Einheit Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
BFM
2 - 4
SED
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
SED
0 - 1
SVD
48%
21%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
LAS
3 - 1
SED
46%
22%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1951 |
SED
3 - 2
FCU
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
ZWI
3 - 1
SED
58%
20%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
ERF
2 - 0
BFM
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
SVD
4 - 1
ERF
50%
22%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1951 |
ERF
1 - 1
ZWI
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
FCU
1 - 1
ERF
30%
23%
48%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
ERF
2 - 1
SVL
72%
15%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |