Cambuur vs NAC Breda analysis

Cambuur NAC Breda
64 ELO 68
15.2% Tilt 21.7%
1262º General ELO ranking 1031º
27º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
35.5%
Cambuur
24.3%
Draw
40.2%
NAC Breda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
Cambuur
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.2%
Win probability
NAC Breda
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cambuur
-17%
-11%
NAC Breda

Points and table prediction

Cambuur
Their league position
NAC Breda
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
13º
13º
56
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Willem II
79
79
100%
Groningen
75
75
100%
Roda JC
75
75
100%
Dordrecht
69
69
100%
ADO Den Haag
63
63
0%
De Graafschap
63
63
0%
Emmen
57
57
100%
NAC Breda
56
56
0%
MVV Maastricht
56
56
100%
Jong AZ
10º
56
56
10º
0%
Helmond Sport
11º
51
51
11º
100%
VVV Venlo
12º
48
48
12º
100%
Cambuur
13º
47
47
13º
100%
FC Eindhoven
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Jong Ajax
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Jong PSV
16º
40
40
16º
100%
SC Telstar
17º
35
35
17º
100%
TOP Oss
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Den Bosch
19º
33
33
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cambuur
NAC Breda
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Cambuur
NAC Breda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cambuur
Cambuur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2023
FCD
Dordrecht
5 - 2
Cambuur
BVO
21%
23%
55%
66 56 10 0
29 Sep. 2023
BVO
Cambuur
3 - 4
Jong PSV
PSV
60%
21%
19%
67 58 9 -1
22 Sep. 2023
JUT
Jong Utrecht
3 - 2
Cambuur
BVO
12%
21%
67%
68 51 17 -1
17 Sep. 2023
BVO
Cambuur
1 - 0
Willem II
WIL
33%
25%
42%
67 73 6 +1
09 Sep. 2023
BVO
Cambuur
3 - 1
Den Bosch
BOS
74%
17%
10%
66 51 15 +1

Matches

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2023
NAC
NAC Breda
3 - 2
Groningen
GRO
47%
26%
28%
68 65 3 0
02 Oct. 2023
JUT
Jong Utrecht
1 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
11%
19%
71%
68 53 15 0
22 Sep. 2023
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 3
Emmen
FCE
38%
27%
36%
69 70 1 -1
15 Sep. 2023
VVV
VVV Venlo
3 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
31%
25%
44%
69 65 4 0
09 Sep. 2023
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 3
Roda JC
RJC
54%
24%
22%
70 62 8 -1
X