Cambuur vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambuur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
HER
1 - 1
BVO
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
BVO
2 - 0
APE
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
VVV
4 - 0
BVO
49%
23%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
BVO
0 - 0
FCO
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
HFC
1 - 2
BVO
47%
24%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
FCO
1 - 2
EXC
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
EIN
0 - 1
EXC
32%
24%
44%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 0
VVV
68%
18%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 0
MVV
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |