Borea Dresden vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borea Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
GER
3 - 1
BDR
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BDR
0 - 4
SVD
18%
24%
58%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
BUD
1 - 0
BDR
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ROT
1 - 5
BDR
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
BDR
0 - 0
BUD
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
ROT
3 - 2
HAL
21%
24%
56%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
SAC
2 - 1
ROT
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
ROT
0 - 1
CHE
30%
24%
47%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ROT
1 - 5
BDR
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -3 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
AUE
0 - 0
ROT
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |