Borea Dresden vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borea Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 1
BDR
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BDR
1 - 1
GER
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BUD
2 - 1
BDR
60%
23%
17%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MAG
4 - 2
BDR
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BDR
2 - 2
AUE
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 1
MAG
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
LUC
4 - 1
SAC
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AUE
7 - 0
LUC
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
LUC
3 - 4
CAR
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
DYN
4 - 1
LUC
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |