Borea Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borea Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BDR
2 - 4
LUC
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 1
BDR
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BDR
1 - 1
GER
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BUD
2 - 1
BDR
60%
23%
17%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MAG
4 - 2
BDR
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MAG
2 - 0
ERZ
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ERZ
0 - 6
AUE
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAC
0 - 2
ERZ
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 0
VFL
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CHE
3 - 2
ERZ
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |