Borea Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borea Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2010 |
BDR
0 - 4
BUD
26%
27%
47%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
POS
0 - 5
BDR
30%
26%
45%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BDR
0 - 0
VFL
35%
25%
41%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
AUE
4 - 0
BDR
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BDR
4 - 0
GER
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2010 |
ERZ
2 - 2
AUE
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
ERZ
51%
24%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ERZ
0 - 0
SAC
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ROT
0 - 0
ERZ
36%
25%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
GER
1 - 2
ERZ
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |