Borea Dresden vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borea Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
SAC
0 - 1
BDR
60%
23%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BDR
2 - 0
VFL
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ROT
2 - 1
BDR
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BDR
1 - 1
CAR
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DYN
0 - 2
BDR
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
AUE
3 - 1
MAG
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
AUE
1 - 0
CHE
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAC
1 - 0
AUE
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AUE
4 - 1
VFL
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ROT
4 - 2
AUE
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |