Borea Dresden vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borea Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2006 |
PLA
2 - 1
BDR
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
GER
1 - 1
BDR
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
BDR
2 - 0
EIL
44%
25%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
BDR
0 - 0
MEU
37%
26%
38%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
OBE
0 - 0
BDR
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2006 |
AUE
1 - 1
ENE
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BUD
1 - 0
AUE
62%
20%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
AUE
0 - 2
PLA
16%
22%
62%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
AUE
1 - 1
GER
28%
24%
48%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
HAL
2 - 1
AUE
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |