Austria Lustenau vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
LBN
1 - 3
SCA
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SCA
0 - 1
MAT
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
UNT
1 - 2
SCA
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SCA
2 - 2
BBL
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
WAT
4 - 0
SCA
29%
25%
47%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
WOR
0 - 1
WIE
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
LAS
2 - 0
WOR
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
ARN
2 - 0
WOR
26%
22%
52%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
WOR
0 - 1
KAP
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
WOR
2 - 0
LUS
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |