Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
SCA
1 - 1
TIR
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
AUS
1 - 0
SCA
73%
17%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
SCA
1 - 1
RIE
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1999 |
RAP
4 - 0
SCA
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
SCA
0 - 0
GRA
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2000 |
STR
6 - 1
GRA
58%
22%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
TIR
1 - 1
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1999 |
STR
3 - 3
PAR
25%
26%
50%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1999 |
STR
3 - 1
RAP
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 1
STR
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |