Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
10º
2º
2
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 69 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 57 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 50 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 49 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 48 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 46 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 45 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 43 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 38 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 35 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 34 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 32 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 24 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
15% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 77% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KAP
0 - 2
SCA
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 0
WIL
65%
19%
17%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 1
FAC
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
AWM
1 - 3
SCA
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 2
SCA
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
STU
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AMS
3 - 1
STU
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STU
1 - 2
KAP
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
4 - 2
STU
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STU
0 - 0
SWB
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |