UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Austria Lustenau vs Stade Rennais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1999 |
GRA
2 - 3
SCA
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
SCA
2 - 1
RUD
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
SCA
1 - 1
LAS
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
RUD
1 - 2
SCA
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
RBS
1 - 0
SCA
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Rennais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
AUX
2 - 0
REN
60%
23%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
REN
1 - 0
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
NAN
2 - 1
REN
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
REN
2 - 1
PSG
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
LYO
1 - 2
REN
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |