1.SC 1911 Heiligenstadt vs SpVgg Geratal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
75.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1.SC 1911 Heiligenstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SGS
2 - 0
SCH
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 4
BSA
6%
14%
80%
|
12 | 58 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 1
WEN
8%
14%
77%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SCW
6 - 1
SCH
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 2
SVE
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Geratal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SGE
1 - 0
FUM
90%
8%
3%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SEE
3 - 0
SGE
10%
16%
74%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SGE
5 - 1
BSA
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WEN
6 - 1
SGE
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SGE
2 - 2
SCW
18%
22%
61%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +2 |