Saksan vs Moldova 03 Ungheni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saksan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MIL
3 - 1
SAX
78%
16%
6%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
PET
3 - 0
SAX
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
DIN
2 - 0
SAX
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
SAX
0 - 1
SPE
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
PET
1 - 0
SAX
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Moldova 03 Ungheni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
MOL
2 - 2
DIN
10%
17%
73%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SPE
0 - 1
MOL
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
MOL
0 - 4
PET
11%
19%
71%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 1
MOL
81%
13%
7%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
MOL
1 - 2
ZIM
10%
21%
69%
|
29 | 68 | 39 | +1 |