STPS vs PEPO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
+1
5.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
79.9%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
6.5%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
STPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MIK
1 - 4
STP
20%
19%
61%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
JUN
1 - 7
STP
21%
19%
60%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
STP
6 - 1
RPS
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
STP
5 - 0
RIP
74%
14%
12%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
MIK
8 - 2
STP
86%
9%
5%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCR
3 - 1
PEP
42%
24%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PEP
0 - 0
MIK
26%
22%
53%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PEP
1 - 2
KOO
13%
18%
70%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PEP
3 - 3
JIP
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEP
1 - 1
MIK
24%
21%
55%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |