Savona vs Valenzana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 1
SAV
71%
19%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 0
ACM
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAV
3 - 2
ACD
61%
23%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 1
SAV
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SAV
0 - 1
FER
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valenzana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
VIN
45%
29%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 0
VAL
64%
23%
13%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
FER
24%
27%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 2
VAL
64%
23%
13%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 2
TRI
18%
27%
56%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |