Savona vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
69.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LRO
2 - 1
SAV
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SAV
0 - 0
RIM
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ASL
2 - 0
SAV
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAV
0 - 3
SPA
26%
29%
45%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SAV
0 - 0
ARZ
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 3
SIE
11%
16%
73%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SIE
3 - 1
LAQ
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TER
2 - 1
SIE
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 1
ARZ
76%
17%
7%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 2
SIE
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |