Savona vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ACG
2 - 0
SAV
25%
26%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAV
2 - 1
VAL
72%
18%
9%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 1
SAV
71%
19%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -3 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 0
ACM
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAV
3 - 2
ACD
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIN
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAN
12%
22%
66%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAS
4 - 3
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |