Savona vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SAV
3 - 1
USP
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RIM
2 - 2
SAV
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 0
MAN
25%
26%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAV
61%
21%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACD
2 - 2
SAV
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
REN
1 - 0
VIN
57%
24%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
USP
2 - 0
REN
38%
27%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
REN
0 - 0
CAS
44%
26%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
REN
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
REN
1 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |