Savona vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAV
76%
18%
6%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
VER
5 - 1
SAV
64%
21%
14%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
SAV
0 - 1
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
SAV
3 - 2
ARZ
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1966 |
USA
3 - 0
SAV
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
MOD
0 - 1
PAD
49%
28%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
CAT
0 - 2
MOD
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
MOD
3 - 1
VER
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
MOD
2 - 2
PIS
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
SAM
1 - 0
MOD
55%
26%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |