Savona vs Milazzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 3
SAV
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAV
0 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 1
SAV
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SAV
3 - 2
REN
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAV
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Milazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 1
FCC
17%
23%
60%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
USA
15%
22%
63%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PRO
5 - 0
MIL
88%
9%
3%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
FAN
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
6 - 0
MIL
79%
15%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |