Savona vs Massese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FCV
0 - 5
SAV
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 0
LAV
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 1
SAV
41%
25%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAV
3 - 0
FBC
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 3
SAV
14%
19%
67%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Massese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MAS
0 - 2
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
VMO
0 - 1
MAS
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MAS
3 - 2
FEZ
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
USR
1 - 1
MAS
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MAS
4 - 1
GHI
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |