Savona vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FBC
1 - 1
SAV
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAV
3 - 0
SPO
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAV
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
USR
2 - 3
SAV
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAV
0 - 0
VMO
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GAV
0 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
USR
1 - 2
GAV
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GAV
1 - 0
VMO
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SES
2 - 1
GAV
16%
25%
59%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GAV
2 - 1
FEZ
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |