Savona vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
POT
0 - 1
SAV
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
REG
2 - 1
SAV
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
SAV
4 - 1
PIS
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAV
72%
20%
9%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
SAV
4 - 2
REG
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
VER
0 - 0
FCC
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
FCC
2 - 1
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
FCC
3 - 1
USA
58%
24%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
MES
2 - 2
FCC
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
FCC
0 - 0
PAL
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |