Savona vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 0
ACG
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 1
SAV
36%
27%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 0
VIN
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAV
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 0
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 2
BV5
16%
24%
60%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RIM
1 - 1
FAN
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FAN
2 - 1
PRO
12%
20%
68%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +3 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
FAN
73%
18%
10%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FAN
2 - 3
REN
23%
25%
53%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |