Savona vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
SAV
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SAV
2 - 1
INV
70%
18%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 1
SAV
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BUS
1 - 5
SAV
18%
21%
61%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SAV
1 - 1
SES
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
FOL
41%
27%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LAV
1 - 1
CAS
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 0
CAS
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
LIG
41%
26%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
CAS
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |