Savona vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
0 - 2
SAV
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CUN
4 - 3
SAV
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAV
0 - 1
LEC
69%
19%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SAV
2 - 0
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 1
SAV
33%
27%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 0
MIL
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAS
56%
24%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
6 - 0
VAL
75%
18%
7%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACD
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |